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Tail risk of hedge funds: an extreme value application

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Tail risk of hedge funds: an extreme value application (English shop)

Gregor Aleksander Gawron (Author)

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ISBN-13 (Printausgabe) 386727441X
ISBN-13 (Hard Copy) 9783867274418
ISBN-13 (eBook) 9783736924413
Language English
Page Number 150
Edition 1 Aufl.
Volume 0
Publication Place Göttingen
Place of Dissertation Basel
Publication Date 2007-12-04
General Categorization Dissertation
Departments Economics
Keywords Hedge funds, Risk measurement, Tail risk, Value at risk, Expected shortfall, Extreme Value Theory, Tail dependence, Diversification.
Description

In the last decade the hedge fund industry has been the fastest growing asset class in the financial sector. Low volatility and low correlation, together with historically good performance may explain the increasing attractiveness of hedge funds among insitutional and retail investors in recent years. However, hedge funds pose a challenge to standard risk measures based on normally distributed returns. Indeed, the returns of hedge fund indices are not normally distributed and have exhibited unusuall levels of skewness and kurtosis. Clearly, volatility and correlation do not provide sufficient information about risk and dependence when the normality assumption is violated. As a consequence, applying symmetric measures on hedge funds may lead to erroneous conclusions. In this thesis, the use of Extreme Value Theory is advocated. This area of statistics enables the estimation of tail probabilities regardless of the underlying distribution of hedge fund returns. This thesis contributes to the growing literature onn risk associated with hedge funds in two main directions. Firstly, it carefully examines the tail risk of individual hedge fund strategies and of portfolios built with stocks, bonds and hedge funds using Extreme Value Theory. Secondly, it furhter measures the dependence between hedge funds and traditional investments in period of crises. For this purpose it tests explicitly the existence of asymptotic dependence between hedge funds and traditional investments.